Thursday, 12 February 2015

Despite the win, Kejriwal might still quit as Delhi CM. Here’s why


 
Yes, this is a historic win. The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and its supremo Arvind Kejriwal have stunned everyone by their dazzling performance in the Delhi Assembly Elections, such that both BJP (Bhartiya Janata Party) and Congress—two national parties, are now decimated in the country’s capital. It’s not a common occurrence that a political party manages to win 67 seats in a 70 seat legislature.
In the coming weeks and probably several months from now, this election victory will remain the talk of the town. Already political pundits and psephologists have taken upon themselves to explain about how BJP lost the plot for Delhi Assembly and why Modi’s charisma is on the wane or that the much touted ‘Modi wave’ has now hit the Kejri “wall”. Whichever way one looks at this election, nobody can deny the fact that these elections have indeed made a mockery of two national parties of India—the BJP and Congress. While Congress scored a perfect zero, BJP managed to muster only three seats. Breaking the caste, class and religious boundaries AAP bagged 54.3% of the total votes polled.
Delhi’s electorate has thrown its weight behind AAP in the belief that Kejriwal should be allowed an uninterrupted tenure as Chief Minister (CM) of Delhi. 
But, herein lies the catch.
This might seem a bit premature, but I am still willing to stick my neck out and say that Arvind Kejriwal will not remain as Delhi’s Chief Minister for a full term of five years. No, this time he will not step down due to extraneous factors. Rather, Kejriwal will quit as Delhi CM simply because the ‘state of Delhi’ is just too small for his ambitions. Kejriwal believes that he has been ordained to do much bigger things in life and will settle for nothing less than the Prime Minister’s chair.
Yes, there’s nothing wrong in being ambitious and there in nothing unethical about it, but riding on the back of anti-national Naxalite-Communist forces to fulfill your ambitions is yet another. A closer look at AAP’s election campaigning reveals this cosy relationship.
In fact, AAP and its supremo Kejriwal have been ably backed by Maoist and Naxalite-Communist forces right since their political birth. However, till 2013 this relationship was like a pre-marital courtship that went on surreptitiously. Fast forward to May 2014. Modi secured an emphatic win in Lok Sabha elections and continued his winning streak in the state assembly elections of Haryana, Maharashtra and Jammu Kashmir that sent alarm bells ringing across the Leftist brigade.
The saffron surge clearly meant that Naxalites and their ‘intellectual sympathizers’ in Delhi were continuously being pushed to the wall. Their support base was eroding at a fast pace. The Left bastions like West Bengal and Kerala were no more left with them as people fed up with their socialist chimera have been steadily drifting towards the BJP. The losing streak of Congress was getting worse and its heir apparent Rahul Gandhi continues to make a mockery of himself at the political stage and is no match to Narendra Modi.
Naxalite-Communists clearly understood that if their show needs to go on then they must be quick, really quick, in finding a new mascot. In these conditions Arvind Kejriwal seemed just apt for them. A wounded but highly ambitious Kejriwal who does not shy away from aggressive campaigning just fits their bill. Smarting from the defeat in Lok Sabha elections Kejriwal and his party were in dire straits. His volunteers were deserting AAP in droves and the party was in serious trouble.
It was in these situations that the earlier discreet courtship between AAP and Naxals was quietly solemnized into a formal marriage such that Kejriwal 2.0 is the groom and Naxalites his ‘political bride’. Soon, this relationship started ground work towards the mutual benefit of both Kejriwal and Naxalite-Communist forces. The Leftists mobilized its cadres across India, who lost no time in donning the white AAP caps and joined ranks with Kejriwal promising freebies to Delhi’s electorate. Somewhere around November when it became clear that AAP stands some chance of giving a close fight to the BJP in Delhi elections, the entire Naxal-Communist brigade threw its weight behind Arvind Kejriwal. Bickering and infighting within the Delhi-BJP helped their cause even more.
On 10th February, Kejriwal reaped the dividends and created a history of sorts. Now, the Naxalite-Communists will demand their pound of flesh, which will be done slowly, subtly and over a longer time-period.
The synergies of this new found alliance will be exactly like Congress-Leftist association that has been in works over the last decade. Under this relationship we had the Naxal sympathizing “secular” intellectuals who glorified and exalted Congress’s Nehru-Gandhi family that helped maintain their royal aura who possesses the divine right to rule ‘ignorant masses’ of India. As a payback, Congress turned a blind eye when Naxalites spread their tentacles in the country’s hinterlands in the name of speaking for the marginalized. The ultra-Left’s Naxal violence spread menacingly during the ten years of UPA rule and today constitutes one of the biggest security threats for India, along with Islamic terrorism.
The modus-operandi of Naxal-Communists is to prop up a political mascot while they continue their under-cover activities. So, Naxal sympathisers who are also powerful opinion makers project their political mascot as saviours of Indian democracy and secularism and as a payback this mascot and his party turns a blind eye to their activities. Earlier it was Congress, now in the changed political landscape it is AAP.
It’s just a matter of time that Kejriwal eases out from the Delhi CM’s chair. Both Kejriwal and AAP need to grow beyond the ‘state of Delhi’ for Naxalism-Communists to flourish across India. Probably within a year or two Kejriwal will pass on Delhi’s baton to some other AAP leader and move over to grab center stage as the lone opposition voice to Narendra Modi. My gut feeling is that either Manish Sisodia or Ashutosh will ultimately be made the Delhi CM. Already, its being talked about that Sisodia will be the deputy CM of Delhi.
Unlike last year, Kejriwal’s exit will be well planned this time. A look at the laundry list of AAP’s election promises confirm that his exit will indeed be as dramatic as the party’s Delhi victory. A lot of these promises are extremely difficult to implement on ground and have been promised with the sole intention to open new confrontations with the Modi government. Whether it’s the promise of halving electricity bills, setting up Delhi’s own power plant, free WiFi across Delhi or the devolution of powers to mohalla sabhas, etc they have all been designed with one target– blame the Center for any unfulfilled promise. “We need funds and we need to be at the Center to fulfill all our election promises. The Modi government does not want the Aam Aadmi to flourish,” will be AAP’s narrative sooner rather than later.
Freebies are also promised by Naxalite-Communists across their zones of influence and a similar narrative is spelt out to justify their armed rebellion against the Indian State.
Anybody who points out that mindless subsidies and freebies are akin to putting an ill patient on steroids is branded as an agent and perpetrator of crony capitalism. World over it has been proved that freebies might help in the short run but over a longer period of time the society and the country flounder. Across his election campaign Kejriwal never mentioned about creating means to generate livelihood rather focused his campaign on offering freebies much like the Naxalite-Communist ideology.
A strong economy and a thinking mind never fits in the Naxalite-Communist ideology and sadly AAP has aped and adopted this mantra.
So, it’s not a question of “if” rather “when” will Kejriwal 2.0 quit as Delhi CM to prepare for the next version of Kejriwal 3.0. And in this theatrics if the state of Delhi suffers or the Naxalite-Communists regain their lost ground then so be it.

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